AccuWeather Forecast for the New York area
NEW YORK (WABC) -- Some of the huge temperature swings and abrupt changes that are often associated with the weather during the middle of March will be on full display over the next few days. First, we'll be encountering a surge of noticeably warmer air in the short term, followed by a bitter blast of arctic air.
That cold blast will be holding us under its firm grip late on Wednesday night and throughout the day Thursday. And although some concerns we had nearly a week ago that there might be a major snowfall along the I-95 corridor won't come to fruition, we still could find ourselves dealing with some very nasty and potential hazardous travel conditions for Thursday morning's commute time.
Let's set the table by pointing out that the sky early this morning has been averaging clear to partly cloudy. Also, most temperatures have been no lower than the 40s in the big cities and the 30s (but also above freezing) in those typically colder spots. There should be some sun today, and a wind out of the west and northwest will actually be ushering in some relatively mild air.
This air, which originated in the Pacific Ocean, will combine with some sunshine to push most temperatures into the 50s and 60s this afternoon. Now that the sun angle is relatively high (the sun's strength now is about the same as it is in late-September), and we've lost most of the snow that covered the ground at the start of the month, many reporting stations should have temperatures that will either come very close to or may even surpass the highest which have occurred thus far this year. Coastal communities should be those which will lag behind a bit, because, for example, along the North Shore of Long Island and in the barrier islands along the Jersey Shore, the marine influence is still going to counterbalance the warmer air.
Tonight will not be very chilly, with most temperatures no lower than the 40s and increasing clouds. Then tomorrow, we have our work cut out for us. Even though the confidence level is still high that the temperature will plunge into the 20s tomorrow night and there will be little, if any recovery occurring on Thursday, it looks like we'll be confronted with a scenario tomorrow afternoon where temperatures will actually be higher than today's in some locations, even though it will be rather cloudy. However, there will be several other places, especially those located farther inland, that will either have lower temperatures or will start out at relatively high levels in the morning, only to come crashing down in the afternoon and especially at night.
We're also keeping an eye on the possibility of some strong thunderstorm activity tomorrow afternoon. The most likely area which can experience wind gusts of greater than 50 miles per hour will include South Jersey, southeastern Pennsylvania, Delaware, Virginia and Maryland. But that doesn't mean thunder still can't be heard in other locations farther north.
As rain overspreads the region tomorrow, the maximum temperature will be occurring quite early north and west of I-95, but it will probably occur much later along the coastal plain. As a strong cold front approaches from the north and west tomorrow night, these temperatures will then begin to fall sharply. A flash freeze is one of our primary concerns, or the wet road surfaces and sidewalks could have a thin layer of ice form rapidly -- regardless of whether or not the rain changes over to snow and it lasts long enough to bring any accumulation.
There will be many places north and west of I-95 that will gain an inch or two early on Thursday morning before all precipitation comes to an end. So we're going to really try and drive home the point that Thursday morning's commute could be slowed down by the changing weather, and untreated surfaces could become icy very quickly.
The temperature will probably be no higher than the 20s on Thursday afternoon, even though the sun should manage to pop out. On Friday, we should encounter some recovery as this bitter blast will be short-lived. Most temperatures will return to the 40s, and Saturday will be even milder.
Have a good day!
Meteorologist Bill Evans
accuweather, rain, snow, snow storm, forecast
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